How I Would Drive This as a Principal TPM
Author: Uday Tamma | Document Version: 1.0 | Date: January 06, 2026 at 11:33 AM CST
Program Scope & Ownership
The Principal TPM is directly accountable for:
- Real-time fraud decisioning platform for Telco/MSP payments and service transactions
- Evidence, disputes, and economic attribution loop to finance and risk teams
- ML-assisted risk scoring and policy experimentation, including safe rollout and governance
- Operational excellence: SLOs, incident management, and long-term reliability
Ownership spans problem definition, system design, execution orchestration, and post-launch optimization - not just project management.
Overview
This document outlines the cross-functional execution strategy for the Telco Payment Fraud Detection Platform from a Principal TPM perspective. It covers stakeholder management, decision frameworks, execution sequencing, and risk mitigation approaches.
Cross-Functional Partners and Engagements
Stakeholder Map
| Partner | Role | Key Concerns | Engagement Cadence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Payment Service Provider (PSP) | Integration point | Latency SLA, error rates | Weekly sync, shared dashboard |
| Security & Compliance | PCI audit, PII governance | Data handling, audit trails | Bi-weekly review, sign-off gates |
| Data Science / ML | Model development | Feature availability, labels | Daily standup, model review weekly |
| SRE / Platform | Infrastructure, reliability | Capacity, failover, alerts | Sprint planning, on-call handoff |
| Finance | Fraud loss budget | ROI tracking, threshold economics | Monthly review, budget alerts |
| Product | Roadmap, customer experience | Approval rate, UX friction | Sprint demos, metric reviews |
| Fraud Operations | Manual review, investigations | Queue volume, tool usability | Weekly office hours, feedback loops |
| Legal / Disputes | Representment, compliance | Evidence quality, win rates | Quarterly review, process updates |
RACI Matrix (Key Decisions)
| Decision | Responsible | Accountable | Consulted | Informed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Threshold changes | Fraud Ops | Product | DS/ML, Finance | Eng, Security |
| Model deployment | DS/ML | Eng Lead | Fraud Ops, Security | Product, Finance |
| Policy rule additions | Fraud Ops | Product | Eng, DS/ML | Finance, Legal |
| Infrastructure scaling | SRE | Eng Lead | Finance | Product |
| Evidence schema changes | Eng | Legal | Fraud Ops, Security | Finance |
| Blocklist additions | Fraud Ops | Fraud Ops | Security | Product, Eng |
Decision Frameworks
Trade-off 1: Risk vs. Approval Rate
The Core Tension: Every percentage point of fraud blocked potentially blocks legitimate customers.
Framework: Expected Value Analysis
For each transaction:
Expected_Loss = P(fraud) Ć (amount + chargeback_fee + penalty)
Expected_Gain = P(legitimate) Ć (revenue + customer_LTV_fraction)
If Expected_Loss > Expected_Gain Ć risk_tolerance:
ā Apply friction or block
Else:
ā AllowOperationalized as:
| Scenario | Risk Score | Amount | Customer Profile | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low risk, low value | <30% | <$50 | Any | ALLOW |
| Medium risk, new customer | 40-60% | Any | <30 days | FRICTION (3DS) |
| Medium risk, established | 40-60% | Any | >90 days | ALLOW |
| High risk, any | >80% | Any | Any | BLOCK |
| High value, new card | Any | >$500 | New card | FRICTION |
Governance:
- Finance owns the risk tolerance parameter
- Product owns the customer experience thresholds
- Fraud Ops can adjust within guard rails without engineering
- Changes require replay testing before production
Trade-off 2: Detection Speed vs. Accuracy
The Core Tension: More sophisticated detection takes more time, but payments cannot wait.
Framework: Latency Budget Allocation
| Component | Budget | Actual | Trade-off |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feature lookup (Redis) | 50ms | 50ms | More features = more latency |
| Detection engine | 30ms | 20ms | More detectors = more latency |
| ML inference | 25ms | N/A | Phase 2 - adds ~20ms |
| Policy evaluation | 15ms | 10ms | More rules = more latency |
| Evidence capture | 30ms | 20ms | Async, non-blocking |
| Buffer | 50ms | 106ms | SLA headroom |
| Total | 200ms | 106ms | 47% headroom |
Decision Rule:
- Any component change must model latency impact
- New features require latency benchmarking before merge
- P99 > 150ms triggers architecture review
Trade-off 3: Manual Review vs. Automation
The Core Tension: Manual review is more accurate but does not scale and adds friction.
Framework: Confidence-Based Routing
High Confidence (>90%): ā Automate decision (ALLOW or BLOCK) ā No manual review ā Post-hoc sampling for quality Medium Confidence (60-90%): ā Automate with audit trail ā Sample 5% for manual review ā Feedback loop to improve model Low Confidence (<60%): ā Queue for manual review ā SLA: 4 hours for >$500, 24 hours for <$500 ā Capture analyst decision as training data
Target Distribution:
| Confidence Band | Current | Target | Manual Review |
|---|---|---|---|
| High (>90%) | 60% | 75% | 0% |
| Medium (60-90%) | 25% | 22% | 5% sample |
| Low (<60%) | 15% | 3% | 100% |
Execution Sequencing and De-risking
Rollout Strategy
Week 1-2: Shadow Mode āāā Deploy to production infrastructure āāā Process 100% of traffic in parallel āāā Log decisions but do not act on them āāā Compare to existing system decisions āāā Validate: Latency, accuracy, stability Week 3: Limited Production (5%) āāā Route 5% of traffic to new system āāā Remainder continues to legacy āāā Monitor: Approval rate, fraud rate, complaints āāā Kill switch: Route back to legacy if issues āāā Validate: No regression on key metrics Week 4-5: Gradual Ramp (25% ā 50% ā 100%) āāā Increase traffic weekly āāā Hold each level for 48+ hours āāā Document any anomalies āāā Business sign-off at each gate āāā Full cutover only after 50% stable for 1 week
Safety Rails
| Rail | Implementation | Trigger | Response |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latency breaker | P99 monitoring | P99 > 180ms for 5min | Alert, then safe mode |
| Error rate breaker | Error counter | >1% errors for 2min | Auto-rollback to legacy |
| Approval rate guard | Rolling metric | Drops >5% vs baseline | Alert Fraud Ops, pause ramp |
| Block rate guard | Rolling metric | Rises >3% vs baseline | Alert Fraud Ops, investigate |
| Safe mode | Fallback logic | Any critical failure | Rule-only scoring, FRICTION default |
Safe Mode Behavior
When safe mode activates:
- ML scoring disabled (if enabled)
- Rule-based scoring only
- Default decision: FRICTION (not ALLOW)
- Blocklist checks still active
- Alert on-call immediately
- Automatic recovery when component healthy for 5 minutes
Stakeholder Communication Plan
Regular Cadence
| Forum | Frequency | Attendees | Agenda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Standup | Daily | Eng, DS/ML | Blockers, progress |
| Sprint Demo | Bi-weekly | All stakeholders | Completed work, metrics |
| Fraud Ops Sync | Weekly | Fraud Ops, Eng, Product | Queue volume, tool feedback |
| Metrics Review | Weekly | Product, Finance, Fraud Ops | KPI dashboard review |
| Architecture Review | Monthly | Eng, SRE, Security | Scaling, reliability |
| Fraud Governance Council | Monthly | Finance, Risk, DS/ML, Fraud Ops, Product, TPM | Approve major policy/model changes |
| Exec Update | Monthly | VP+, Product Lead | Summary, risks, asks |
| Quarterly Roadmap Review | Quarterly | VP-level stakeholders | Platform maturity, investments |
Escalation Path
Severity 1 (Revenue Impact): ā Immediate: On-call Eng + SRE ā 15 min: Eng Lead + Product ā 30 min: VP Eng + VP Product ā 1 hour: C-level if unresolved Severity 2 (Metric Degradation): ā Immediate: On-call Eng ā 1 hour: Eng Lead + Fraud Ops ā 4 hours: Product Lead ā 24 hours: VP if unresolved Severity 3 (Non-urgent): ā Next business day review ā Track in sprint backlog
Risk Mitigation Matrix
Technical Risks
| Risk | Probability | Impact | Mitigation | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redis cluster failure | Low | Critical | Multi-AZ, fallback to cached | SRE |
| ML model degradation | Medium | High | PSI monitoring, auto-rollback | DS/ML |
| Feature pipeline lag | Medium | Medium | Staleness alerts, graceful degradation | Eng |
| Policy misconfiguration | Medium | High | Replay testing, staged rollout | Eng |
| Integration timeout | Low | Medium | Circuit breaker, async retry | Eng |
Operational Risks
| Risk | Probability | Impact | Mitigation | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analyst queue backup | Medium | Medium | Auto-routing rules, hiring plan | Fraud Ops |
| Threshold drift | High | Medium | Weekly threshold review, automation | DS/ML |
| Attack pattern shift | High | Medium | Champion/challenger experiments | DS/ML |
| Evidence gaps | Low | High | Schema validation, monitoring | Eng |
| Compliance audit finding | Low | High | Pre-audit review, documentation | Security |
Business Risks
| Risk | Probability | Impact | Mitigation | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approval rate drop | Medium | Critical | Guard rails, rollback plan | Product |
| False positive spike | Medium | High | Customer feedback loop, monitoring | Product |
| Fraud loss spike | Low | Critical | Safe mode, rapid threshold adjustment | Fraud Ops |
| Customer churn | Low | High | FP tracking, win-back process | Product |
Success Metrics and Governance
Phase 1 Success Criteria (Go/No-Go)
| Metric | Target | Measurement | Owner |
|---|---|---|---|
| P99 Latency | <200ms | Prometheus | Eng |
| Error Rate | <0.1% | Prometheus | Eng |
| Approval Rate Delta | >-2% | A/B comparison | Product |
| Fraud Detection Rate | >-5% | Historical replay | DS/ML |
| Load Test | 1000+ RPS | Locust | Eng |
| Test Coverage | 70%+ | CI/CD | Eng |
Ongoing Governance
| Metric | Alert Threshold | Review Cadence | Escalation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Approval Rate | <90% | Daily | Product Lead |
| Block Rate | >8% | Daily | Fraud Ops Lead |
| P99 Latency | >150ms | Real-time | On-call Eng |
| Fraud Rate | >1.5% | Weekly | Finance |
| Dispute Win Rate | <35% | Monthly | Legal |
| Manual Review % | >5% | Weekly | Fraud Ops |
Incident Readiness & Runbooks
The platform is treated as a Tier-1 service with clear incident protocols.
Incident Playbooks
| Playbook | Trigger | Key Steps |
|---|---|---|
| Card Testing Spike | >5x velocity on card testing detector | Block IP ranges, review blocklist, alert Fraud Ops |
| Velocity Rule Misfire | Block rate >10% | Disable rule, replay test, root cause |
| Redis Latency Degradation | P99 >100ms for Redis | Scale Redis, check connection pool, enable safe mode |
| Safe Mode Active | Any critical failure | Notify stakeholders, assess impact, document duration |
| Model Score Drift | PSI >0.2 | Disable model, fall back to rules, trigger retraining |
Post-Incident Review
- Quantify impact (loss, approvals, CSAT tangents)
- Feed learnings back into policy, detectors, and tooling
- Update runbooks with new scenarios
Key TPM Artifacts
Documents I Would Produce
- Technical Requirements Document (TRD) - Detailed specifications for each component
- Integration Runbook - Step-by-step PSP integration guide
- Rollout Plan - Week-by-week execution schedule with gates
- Risk Register - Living document of risks and mitigations
- Metrics Dashboard Spec - KPI definitions and visualization requirements
- Incident Response Playbook - Severity definitions and response procedures
- Post-Launch Review Template - Structured retrospective format
Meetings I Would Run
- Architecture Review - Cross-functional technical decision forum
- Rollout Readiness Review - Go/no-go checklist walkthrough
- Weekly Metrics Review - KPI trends and action items
- Incident Post-Mortem - Structured learning from failures
- Quarterly Business Review - Executive summary with ROI analysis
- Fraud Governance Council - Monthly cross-functional policy approval forum
This document demonstrates Principal TPM execution thinking: stakeholder management, decision frameworks, risk-aware sequencing, and structured governance.