How I Would Drive This as a Principal TPM

Author: Uday Tamma | Document Version: 1.0 | Date: January 06, 2026 at 11:33 AM CST


Program Scope & Ownership

The Principal TPM is directly accountable for:

  • Real-time fraud decisioning platform for Telco/MSP payments and service transactions
  • Evidence, disputes, and economic attribution loop to finance and risk teams
  • ML-assisted risk scoring and policy experimentation, including safe rollout and governance
  • Operational excellence: SLOs, incident management, and long-term reliability

Ownership spans problem definition, system design, execution orchestration, and post-launch optimization - not just project management.


Overview

This document outlines the cross-functional execution strategy for the Telco Payment Fraud Detection Platform from a Principal TPM perspective. It covers stakeholder management, decision frameworks, execution sequencing, and risk mitigation approaches.


Cross-Functional Partners and Engagements

Stakeholder Map

PartnerRoleKey ConcernsEngagement Cadence
Payment Service Provider (PSP)Integration pointLatency SLA, error ratesWeekly sync, shared dashboard
Security & CompliancePCI audit, PII governanceData handling, audit trailsBi-weekly review, sign-off gates
Data Science / MLModel developmentFeature availability, labelsDaily standup, model review weekly
SRE / PlatformInfrastructure, reliabilityCapacity, failover, alertsSprint planning, on-call handoff
FinanceFraud loss budgetROI tracking, threshold economicsMonthly review, budget alerts
ProductRoadmap, customer experienceApproval rate, UX frictionSprint demos, metric reviews
Fraud OperationsManual review, investigationsQueue volume, tool usabilityWeekly office hours, feedback loops
Legal / DisputesRepresentment, complianceEvidence quality, win ratesQuarterly review, process updates

RACI Matrix (Key Decisions)

DecisionResponsibleAccountableConsultedInformed
Threshold changesFraud OpsProductDS/ML, FinanceEng, Security
Model deploymentDS/MLEng LeadFraud Ops, SecurityProduct, Finance
Policy rule additionsFraud OpsProductEng, DS/MLFinance, Legal
Infrastructure scalingSREEng LeadFinanceProduct
Evidence schema changesEngLegalFraud Ops, SecurityFinance
Blocklist additionsFraud OpsFraud OpsSecurityProduct, Eng

Decision Frameworks

Trade-off 1: Risk vs. Approval Rate

The Core Tension: Every percentage point of fraud blocked potentially blocks legitimate customers.

Framework: Expected Value Analysis

For each transaction:
  Expected_Loss = P(fraud) Ɨ (amount + chargeback_fee + penalty)
  Expected_Gain = P(legitimate) Ɨ (revenue + customer_LTV_fraction)

  If Expected_Loss > Expected_Gain Ɨ risk_tolerance:
    → Apply friction or block
  Else:
    → Allow

Operationalized as:

ScenarioRisk ScoreAmountCustomer ProfileDecision
Low risk, low value<30%<$50AnyALLOW
Medium risk, new customer40-60%Any<30 daysFRICTION (3DS)
Medium risk, established40-60%Any>90 daysALLOW
High risk, any>80%AnyAnyBLOCK
High value, new cardAny>$500New cardFRICTION

Governance:

  • Finance owns the risk tolerance parameter
  • Product owns the customer experience thresholds
  • Fraud Ops can adjust within guard rails without engineering
  • Changes require replay testing before production

Trade-off 2: Detection Speed vs. Accuracy

The Core Tension: More sophisticated detection takes more time, but payments cannot wait.

Framework: Latency Budget Allocation

ComponentBudgetActualTrade-off
Feature lookup (Redis)50ms50msMore features = more latency
Detection engine30ms20msMore detectors = more latency
ML inference25msN/APhase 2 - adds ~20ms
Policy evaluation15ms10msMore rules = more latency
Evidence capture30ms20msAsync, non-blocking
Buffer50ms106msSLA headroom
Total200ms106ms47% headroom

Decision Rule:

  • Any component change must model latency impact
  • New features require latency benchmarking before merge
  • P99 > 150ms triggers architecture review

Trade-off 3: Manual Review vs. Automation

The Core Tension: Manual review is more accurate but does not scale and adds friction.

Framework: Confidence-Based Routing

High Confidence (>90%):
  → Automate decision (ALLOW or BLOCK)
  → No manual review
  → Post-hoc sampling for quality

Medium Confidence (60-90%):
  → Automate with audit trail
  → Sample 5% for manual review
  → Feedback loop to improve model

Low Confidence (<60%):
  → Queue for manual review
  → SLA: 4 hours for >$500, 24 hours for <$500
  → Capture analyst decision as training data

Target Distribution:

Confidence BandCurrentTargetManual Review
High (>90%)60%75%0%
Medium (60-90%)25%22%5% sample
Low (<60%)15%3%100%

Execution Sequencing and De-risking

Rollout Strategy

Week 1-2: Shadow Mode
ā”œā”€ā”€ Deploy to production infrastructure
ā”œā”€ā”€ Process 100% of traffic in parallel
ā”œā”€ā”€ Log decisions but do not act on them
ā”œā”€ā”€ Compare to existing system decisions
└── Validate: Latency, accuracy, stability

Week 3: Limited Production (5%)
ā”œā”€ā”€ Route 5% of traffic to new system
ā”œā”€ā”€ Remainder continues to legacy
ā”œā”€ā”€ Monitor: Approval rate, fraud rate, complaints
ā”œā”€ā”€ Kill switch: Route back to legacy if issues
└── Validate: No regression on key metrics

Week 4-5: Gradual Ramp (25% → 50% → 100%)
ā”œā”€ā”€ Increase traffic weekly
ā”œā”€ā”€ Hold each level for 48+ hours
ā”œā”€ā”€ Document any anomalies
ā”œā”€ā”€ Business sign-off at each gate
└── Full cutover only after 50% stable for 1 week

Safety Rails

RailImplementationTriggerResponse
Latency breakerP99 monitoringP99 > 180ms for 5minAlert, then safe mode
Error rate breakerError counter>1% errors for 2minAuto-rollback to legacy
Approval rate guardRolling metricDrops >5% vs baselineAlert Fraud Ops, pause ramp
Block rate guardRolling metricRises >3% vs baselineAlert Fraud Ops, investigate
Safe modeFallback logicAny critical failureRule-only scoring, FRICTION default

Safe Mode Behavior

When safe mode activates:

  1. ML scoring disabled (if enabled)
  2. Rule-based scoring only
  3. Default decision: FRICTION (not ALLOW)
  4. Blocklist checks still active
  5. Alert on-call immediately
  6. Automatic recovery when component healthy for 5 minutes

Stakeholder Communication Plan

Regular Cadence

ForumFrequencyAttendeesAgenda
Daily StandupDailyEng, DS/MLBlockers, progress
Sprint DemoBi-weeklyAll stakeholdersCompleted work, metrics
Fraud Ops SyncWeeklyFraud Ops, Eng, ProductQueue volume, tool feedback
Metrics ReviewWeeklyProduct, Finance, Fraud OpsKPI dashboard review
Architecture ReviewMonthlyEng, SRE, SecurityScaling, reliability
Fraud Governance CouncilMonthlyFinance, Risk, DS/ML, Fraud Ops, Product, TPMApprove major policy/model changes
Exec UpdateMonthlyVP+, Product LeadSummary, risks, asks
Quarterly Roadmap ReviewQuarterlyVP-level stakeholdersPlatform maturity, investments

Escalation Path

Severity 1 (Revenue Impact):
  → Immediate: On-call Eng + SRE
  → 15 min: Eng Lead + Product
  → 30 min: VP Eng + VP Product
  → 1 hour: C-level if unresolved

Severity 2 (Metric Degradation):
  → Immediate: On-call Eng
  → 1 hour: Eng Lead + Fraud Ops
  → 4 hours: Product Lead
  → 24 hours: VP if unresolved

Severity 3 (Non-urgent):
  → Next business day review
  → Track in sprint backlog

Risk Mitigation Matrix

Technical Risks

RiskProbabilityImpactMitigationOwner
Redis cluster failureLowCriticalMulti-AZ, fallback to cachedSRE
ML model degradationMediumHighPSI monitoring, auto-rollbackDS/ML
Feature pipeline lagMediumMediumStaleness alerts, graceful degradationEng
Policy misconfigurationMediumHighReplay testing, staged rolloutEng
Integration timeoutLowMediumCircuit breaker, async retryEng

Operational Risks

RiskProbabilityImpactMitigationOwner
Analyst queue backupMediumMediumAuto-routing rules, hiring planFraud Ops
Threshold driftHighMediumWeekly threshold review, automationDS/ML
Attack pattern shiftHighMediumChampion/challenger experimentsDS/ML
Evidence gapsLowHighSchema validation, monitoringEng
Compliance audit findingLowHighPre-audit review, documentationSecurity

Business Risks

RiskProbabilityImpactMitigationOwner
Approval rate dropMediumCriticalGuard rails, rollback planProduct
False positive spikeMediumHighCustomer feedback loop, monitoringProduct
Fraud loss spikeLowCriticalSafe mode, rapid threshold adjustmentFraud Ops
Customer churnLowHighFP tracking, win-back processProduct

Success Metrics and Governance

Phase 1 Success Criteria (Go/No-Go)

MetricTargetMeasurementOwner
P99 Latency<200msPrometheusEng
Error Rate<0.1%PrometheusEng
Approval Rate Delta>-2%A/B comparisonProduct
Fraud Detection Rate>-5%Historical replayDS/ML
Load Test1000+ RPSLocustEng
Test Coverage70%+CI/CDEng

Ongoing Governance

MetricAlert ThresholdReview CadenceEscalation
Approval Rate<90%DailyProduct Lead
Block Rate>8%DailyFraud Ops Lead
P99 Latency>150msReal-timeOn-call Eng
Fraud Rate>1.5%WeeklyFinance
Dispute Win Rate<35%MonthlyLegal
Manual Review %>5%WeeklyFraud Ops

Incident Readiness & Runbooks

The platform is treated as a Tier-1 service with clear incident protocols.

Incident Playbooks

PlaybookTriggerKey Steps
Card Testing Spike>5x velocity on card testing detectorBlock IP ranges, review blocklist, alert Fraud Ops
Velocity Rule MisfireBlock rate >10%Disable rule, replay test, root cause
Redis Latency DegradationP99 >100ms for RedisScale Redis, check connection pool, enable safe mode
Safe Mode ActiveAny critical failureNotify stakeholders, assess impact, document duration
Model Score DriftPSI >0.2Disable model, fall back to rules, trigger retraining

Post-Incident Review

  • Quantify impact (loss, approvals, CSAT tangents)
  • Feed learnings back into policy, detectors, and tooling
  • Update runbooks with new scenarios

Key TPM Artifacts

Documents I Would Produce

  1. Technical Requirements Document (TRD) - Detailed specifications for each component
  2. Integration Runbook - Step-by-step PSP integration guide
  3. Rollout Plan - Week-by-week execution schedule with gates
  4. Risk Register - Living document of risks and mitigations
  5. Metrics Dashboard Spec - KPI definitions and visualization requirements
  6. Incident Response Playbook - Severity definitions and response procedures
  7. Post-Launch Review Template - Structured retrospective format

Meetings I Would Run

  1. Architecture Review - Cross-functional technical decision forum
  2. Rollout Readiness Review - Go/no-go checklist walkthrough
  3. Weekly Metrics Review - KPI trends and action items
  4. Incident Post-Mortem - Structured learning from failures
  5. Quarterly Business Review - Executive summary with ROI analysis
  6. Fraud Governance Council - Monthly cross-functional policy approval forum

This document demonstrates Principal TPM execution thinking: stakeholder management, decision frameworks, risk-aware sequencing, and structured governance.